Continuous record Laplace-based inference about the break date in structural change models

Inference in continuous-time change-point models

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for continuous-time multi-stable stochastic systems which can change both their diffusion and drift parameters at discrete times. We propose exact inference and sampling methodologies for two specific cases where the discontinuous dynamics is given by a Poisson process and a two-state Markovian switch. We test the methodology on simulated data, and ...

Inference in Nonlinear Econometric Models with Structural Change

Reasoning about Continuous Change

The problem of formalising continuous change within reasoning about action systems such as the situation calculus has recently been receiving increasing attention ((Rei96], MS96]). In this paper we show that a long-existing systems theoretic reasoning methodology, that of Zeigler's DEVS (discrete event system speciication), not only subsumes the standard situation calculus but is able to elegan...

the effect of the record infancy in crimilly acts of guilties (in karaj city)

چکیده یکی از مهمترین دغدغه های بزرگ جوامع بشری، از دیر باز تا کنون که ذهن پژوهشگران و متخصصان بهداشت روانی و اجتماعی و دولتها رابه خود مشغول داشته، مسأله ی بزهکاری می باشد. شناخت کامل پدیده ی بزهکاری و بزهکار، علل وعوامل سقوط یک انسان، چگونگی درمان وی و درنهایت پیشگیری ازبزهکاری ودریک کلام سالم سازی یک جامعه، رسالت عظیم، انسانی ومقدسی می باشد که با بررسی شخصیت مجرم یعنی[ انسانی که تحت شرای...

Inference on Pr(X > Y ) Based on Record Values From the Power Hazard Rate Distribution

In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the stress-strength reliability $Pr (X > Y)$ based on upper record values when $X$ and $Y$ are two independent but not identically distributed random variables from the power hazard rate distribution with common scale parameter $k$. When the parameter $k$ is known, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), the approximate Bayes estimator and ...